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![]() HF Sinclair CorporationDINO US · Energy · USD Current price$109.29as of Sep 22, 2026 Summary
Analyst consensusStrong Buy 1Buy 5Hold 7Sell 2Strong Sell 115 analysts 3-year price (USD)Factor profileMulti-factor score 100 / 100 Market data
Business descriptionHF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is an independent energy company that produces and markets high-value light products such as gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, and specialty lubricants. The company operates a network of complex refineries primary located in the Mid-Continent, Southwest, and Rocky Mountain regions of the United States. Competitive moatHF Sinclair possesses high complexity ratings across its refinery footprint, giving it excellent feed flexibility to process heavy, sour crude oils (sourced from Canada and Venezuela) into premium middle distillates (jet fuel and diesel). This high complexity allows DINO to capture wider refining margins, particularly during periods of wide crude-grade pricing differentials, such as the Western Canada Select (WCS) to WTI spread. Recent developments
Investment risks / red flags
Financials
Classification
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Theme Exposure
Factor Profile (Spider Chart)
TBI ModelPrice Chart (TradingView)
Symbol: DINOBusiness description
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is an independent energy company that produces and markets high-value light products such as gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, and specialty lubricants. The company operates a network of complex refineries primary located in the Mid-Continent, Southwest, and Rocky Mountain regions of the United States.
Competitive moat
HF Sinclair possesses high complexity ratings across its refinery footprint, giving it excellent feed flexibility to process heavy, sour crude oils (sourced from Canada and Venezuela) into premium middle distillates (jet fuel and diesel). This high complexity allows DINO to capture wider refining margins, particularly during periods of wide crude-grade pricing differentials, such as the Western Canada Select (WCS) to WTI spread.
Recent developments
- Strategic Spin-off Plan: On 07/28/2026, HF Sinclair announced plans to pursue a spin-off of its Lubricants and Specialties (L&S) business. This "addition-by-subtraction" move aims to unlock shareholder value by focusing core operations on refining and midstream, though it carries execution and concentration risks.
- Robust Cash Generation: DINO generated strong free cash flow of ~$870M in 2025, easily supporting $724M in total shareholder returns (nearly triple the 2024 level). Cash balance rose to $978M at year-end.
- WCS-WTI Differential Windfall: Widening Canadian crude export bottlenecks have pushed the WTI-WCS spread from its historical $10-$15/b range to nearly $19/b as of late July. This discount provides a low-cost feedstock advantage for DINO's complex Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain refineries.
- Fortified Balance Sheet: DINO maintains a very conservative financial structure, with a debt-to-capital ratio of 18% (net debt of 15%), well below the peer average of 42%.
Investment risks / red flags
- Regional Concentration: Unlike larger peers, DINO's refinery footprint is highly concentrated in just two key inland regions, exposing it to localized logistics or pipeline disruptions.
- Brent-WTI Spread Sensitivity: Narrowing Brent-WTI or WTI-WCS spreads directly threaten its feedstock pricing advantage and refining margins.
- Execution Risks: The proposed Lubricants & Specialties spin-off involves notable separation and operational execution risks.
Market Data
Source: mkts.io · Sep 22, 2026, 06:00 UTC
Key Metrics
Analyst Consensus
Calendar Events
Financials
Forward Estimates
| Period | EPS Est | Rev Est |
|---|---|---|
| 0q | 6.48 | $8.51B |
| +1q | 4.03 | $7.84B |
| 0y | 15.98 | $34.39B |
| +1y | 11.82 | $31.20B |
Earnings
Rating Changes
| Date | Firm | Action | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Raymond James | main | Strong Buy |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | main | Overweight |
| Sep 8, 2026 | UBS | main | Buy |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Wells Fargo | main | Equal-Weight |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Mizuho | main | Neutral |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barclays | main | Equal-Weight |
