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![]() Netflix Inc.NFLX US · Communication Services · USD Current price$73.36as of Sep 21, 2026 Summary
Analyst consensusStrong Buy 7Buy 28Hold 15Sell 145 analysts 3-year price (USD)Factor profileMulti-factor score 59 / 100 Market data
Business descriptionNetflix (NFLX) is the world's largest subscription-based streaming service, offering TV episodes, movies, games, and live events to ~302M paid members in 190+ countries. The company is transitioning from pure subscriber growth to a revenue monetization optimization strategy (ads, pricing power, paid sharing). Competitive moatStrong global brand, massive content library, and best-in-class recommendation technology. Scaling advantage in content amortization and production across 190+ countries. Localized live events proven as powerful member acquisition tool (WBC Japan drove largest sign-up day ever). Recent developments
Investment risks / red flags
Financials
Classification
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Last updated: Aug 12, 2026
Current price: $73.36 · Sep 21, 2026· USD
CFRA Ratingbuy
TBI Multi Score59
Theme Exposure
Related Peers
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Factor Profile (Spider Chart)
TBI ModelPrice Chart (TradingView)
Symbol: NFLXBusiness description
Netflix (NFLX) is the world's largest subscription-based streaming service, offering TV episodes, movies, games, and live events to ~302M paid members in 190+ countries. The company is transitioning from pure subscriber growth to a revenue monetization optimization strategy (ads, pricing power, paid sharing).
Competitive moat
Strong global brand, massive content library, and best-in-class recommendation technology. Scaling advantage in content amortization and production across 190+ countries. Localized live events proven as powerful member acquisition tool (WBC Japan drove largest sign-up day ever).
Recent developments
- Q2 2026 Results (07/16/2026): Revenue $12.56B (+13% Y/Y), operating income $4.19B (+11%), diluted EPS $0.80 — revenue in line with guidance, operating margin 33.4% slightly ahead. Net income normalized to $3.4B (vs. $5.3B in Q1, which included the $2.8B WBD merger termination fee). Shares fell ~9% after the print on a softer Q3 revenue guide (+11.7% to $12.86B, below consensus).
- FY2026 Guidance Narrowed (07/16/2026): Full-year revenue guidance narrowed to $51.0-$51.4B (13-14% growth, ~12% F/X-neutral); operating margin target of 31.5% reaffirmed. Ads revenue still on track for ~$3B (roughly 2x 2025).
- Share Repurchase Acceleration (07/16/2026): $4.7B repurchased in Q2 — the largest quarterly buyback ever. Board authorized an additional $25B; $27.1B remained available under all authorizations at quarter-end.
- Content & Programming (07/16/2026): View hours grew +2% in H1 2026. Video podcasts over-indexing on daytime mobile viewing. Cloud gaming debuts: FIFA World Cup and Unhinged were the biggest launches; MLB Home Run Derby (07/13/2026) and the Field of Dreams game (08/13/2026) added to the live-sports slate. GenAI tools used in production on ~300 titles in 2026.
- Engagement Disclosure Change (07/16/2026): "What We Watched" report moving from semi-annual to annual (starting 2027), separated from earnings to keep the release focused on primary financial metrics.
- Leadership Transition Completed (06/04/2026): Jay Hoag (TCV co-founder, Netflix director since 1999, longtime lead independent director) formally became Board Chairman at the annual shareholder meeting, succeeding co-founder Reed Hastings — who had announced in the April Q1 letter that he would not stand for re-election. Co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters continue running the company day-to-day.
- NFL Agreement Expansion (05/15/2026): Extended the NFL partnership through the 2029-30 season — each season now includes a Week 1 game (2026: Rams-49ers from Melbourne, Australia), the NFL's first-ever Thanksgiving Eve game, a Christmas Day game, the Week 18 finale, and NFL Honors. Netflix also has the Tyson Fury vs. Anthony Joshua heavyweight fight targeted for Q4 2026 (date/venue TBD).
- Q1 2026 Results (04/16/2026): Revenue $12.25B (+16% Y/Y), operating income $3.96B (+18%), diluted EPS $1.23 (vs. $0.66) — ahead of guidance on slightly higher subscription revenue. Net income boosted by the $2.8B Warner Bros. Discovery merger termination fee (paid by Paramount Skydance on WBD's behalf after WBD's board deemed PSKY's bid superior).
- Full-Year Guidance Maintained (04/16/2026): Revenue guided to $50.7B-$51.7B, operating margin 31.5%. Ads revenue on track to reach ~$3B (2x 2025).
- Content Amortization Front-Loaded ⚠️ (04/16/2026): Guided Q2 to have the "highest year-over-year content amortization growth rate" of the year before decelerating in 2H, with amortization reaching $4.5B-$4.7B and temporarily pushing operating margin below 30% — though actual Q2 margin held at 33.4%, ahead of this cautionary guide.
- Ads Tier Growth (04/16/2026): Ads plan represented over 60% of Q1 sign-ups in ads-available countries; working with 4,000+ advertisers (up 70% Y/Y).
- Share Repurchase Resumed (04/16/2026): Resumed the buyback program with $1.3B repurchased in Q1; $6.8B remained on the authorization at quarter-end (later topped up by the new $25B authorization announced with Q2 results).
- GenAI Acquisition: InterPositive (03/05/2026): Acquired InterPositive, an AI-powered filmmaking tools startup founded by Ben Affleck, for ~$587M in cash (per Q2 10-Q); the entire 16-person team joined Netflix, with Affleck staying on as a senior advisor.
- Live Events: WBC Japan & BTS Concert (03/21-25/2026): World Baseball Classic streamed exclusively in Japan drew 31.4M viewers across the tournament — Netflix's most-watched program ever in Japan — sparking the platform's largest single sign-up day ever. BTS The Comeback Live: Arirang (livestreamed 03/21 from Seoul) drew 18.4M global viewers.
Investment risks / red flags
- Content Cost Inflation: $24.1B in content obligations; content amortization growth highest in H1 2026.
- Competition Intensifying: Highly competitive landscape with traditional media and tech giants investing in streaming.
- Ad Revenue Dependency: Ad revenue target ($3B) requires sustained macro advertising demand.
- F/X Exposure: 57% of revenue outside UCAN; hedging partially offsets but F/X remains a headwind.
- Valuation Compression: Market continues to resist previous high P/E multiples despite strong earnings growth.
Market Data
Source: mkts.io · Sep 21, 2026, 18:00 UTC
Key Metrics
P/E (TTM)23.07
P/E (Fwd)19.21
Beta1.53
52W High$124.86
52W Low$65.08
Analyst Consensus
7
28
15
Strong Buy7Buy28Hold15Sell145 analysts
Consensus Target$93.37
+27.3% upside
Calendar Events
Next EarningsOct 20, 2026
Financials
Revenue$48.37B
Rev Growth13.40%
Earnings Growth11.10%
Gross Margin49.12%
Op Margin33.38%
Profit Margin28.22%
EBITDA$14.73B
ROA16.08%
ROE49.54%
Rev/Share$11.46
Total Cash$9.13B
Total Debt$16.65B
D/E Ratio55.24
Free Cash Flow$25.39B
Op Cash Flow$11.97B
Current Ratio1.14
Forward Estimates
| Period | EPS Est | Rev Est |
|---|---|---|
| 0q | 0.82 | $12.88B |
| +1q | 0.73 | $13.53B |
| 0y | 3.58 | $51.22B |
| +1y | 3.81 | $57.01B |
Earnings
Quarterly EPS
3Q2025
Est: 0.700.59Miss
4Q2025
Est: 0.550.56Beat
1Q2026
Est: 1.251.23Miss
2Q2026
Est: 0.790.80Beat
Annual
2022
Rev $31.62BEarn $4.49B
2023
Rev $33.72BEarn $5.41B
2024
Rev $39.00BEarn $8.71B
2025
Rev $45.18BEarn $10.98B
Rating Changes
| Date | Firm | Action | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Wells Fargo | down | Underweight |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | main | Outperform |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Wolfe Research | main | Outperform |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Baird | main | Outperform |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Goldman Sachs | main | Buy |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Piper Sandler | main | Overweight |
