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TBI Research Wiki

The Cigna Group

CI USHealth Care
Devise: USD
Rating CFRAbuy
TBI Multi Score88

Profil Factoriel (Spider Chart)

Modèle TBI

Analyse Graphique (TradingView)

Ticker: CI

Rapport d'Analyse & Thèse d'Investissement

Business description

The Cigna Group is one of the largest U.S. employee benefits organizations, operating through two primary segments: Evernorth Health Services (79% of 2025 adjusted revenues), which provides pharmacy benefit management, specialty pharmacy, and behavioral health services; and Cigna Healthcare (21%), which offers commercial medical insurance domestically and internationally. Following the divestiture of its Medicare businesses, CI is now a focused commercial health + PBM operator with reduced federal government exposure.

Key financials

  • Price: USD 281.45 (07/17/2026)
  • 12-Mo Target: USD 330.00
  • Market Cap: USD 74.45B
  • CFRA Rating: Buy
  • H-Score: 88

Competitive moat

  • Second-largest U.S. employee benefits organization by revenue, with significant scale in both commercial health insurance and PBM operations.
  • Evernorth franchise benefits from a sticky pharmacy benefit platform processing 2.22B claims in 2025, with long-duration client relationships.
  • Centene PBM services agreement (estimated 20M members won from CVS) demonstrates competitive win capability in PBM market share battles.
  • Streamlined portfolio post-Medicare divestiture allows sharper focus on commercial health and pharmacy, improving margin profile.
  • Low valuation (9.3x forward P/E) with strong buyback potential provides downside protection.

Recent developments

  • Medicare divestiture closed (March 2025): Sold Medicare Advantage, Part D, and CareAllies to HCSC for $4.9B; CI now focused on Commercial + PBM with less federal exposure.
  • FTC/Express Scripts settlement (February 2026): Resolved antitrust lawsuit over insulin pricing; agreed to concessions including moving Ascent GPO to U.S. and joining TrumpRx, reducing regulatory overhang.
  • Q1 2026 beat: Adjusted EPS of $7.79 (+16% Y/Y) exceeded consensus by $0.18; full-year guidance raised $0.10. Evernorth revenues up 9% Y/Y.
  • Planned ACA exit: CI will exit Individual ACA Exchange market by year-end 2026, citing limited scale relative to portfolio.

Investment risks / red flags

  • Membership declines: Total medical customers fell ~5% in 2025 following divestitures; medical customer growth expected flat in 2026.
  • Medical utilization pressure: Industrywide cost pressures from stop-loss plans and deferred care; MCR maintained at 83.7%-84.7% guidance reflects ongoing uncertainty.
  • PBM regulatory risk: Intense political scrutiny on PBM rebate models; FTC action and Trump administration policies could pressure Evernorth economics.
  • Leverage: Total debt/capital of ~39% following Express Scripts acquisition; though steadily deleveraging.

H-Score signals

  • TBI multi factor score: 88
  • High score reflecting strong value characteristics with attractive earnings growth trajectory post-restructuring.

Theme exposure

  • [[managed-care]]
  • [[pharmacy-benefits]]

Related

  • [[Health Care Services]]
  • [[Managed Care]]