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 The GEO Group Inc.GEO US · Industrials · USD Current price$29.70as of Sep 22, 2026 Summary
Analyst consensusBuy 34 analysts 3-year price (USD)Market data
Business descriptionA leading diversified government service provider specializing in the design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers across the US, Australia, South Africa, and the UK. Competitive moatGEO operates as a specialized real estate investment trust (REIT) with deep integration into government security and correctional infrastructure, providing high barriers to entry due to complex regulatory and financing requirements for secure facilities. Recent developments
Investment risks / red flags
Financials
Classification
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Last updated: Jul 1, 2026
Current price: $29.70 · Sep 22, 2026· USD
TBI Multi Score63
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Price Chart (TradingView)
Symbol: GEOBusiness description
A leading diversified government service provider specializing in the design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers across the US, Australia, South Africa, and the UK.
Competitive moat
GEO operates as a specialized real estate investment trust (REIT) with deep integration into government security and correctional infrastructure, providing high barriers to entry due to complex regulatory and financing requirements for secure facilities.
Recent developments
- Financial Performance: Reported revenue increase in Q1 earnings.
- Leadership Change: CFO Mark Suchinski is leaving; Shayn March has been named as successor.
- Technicals: Technical indicators have been BULLISH since March 2025.
Investment risks / red flags
- Regulatory Risk: High dependency on government contracts and political sensitivity regarding the management of correctional and detention facilities.
- Valuation: Currently trading slightly above CFRA's quantitative fair value.
Market Data
Source: mkts.io · Sep 22, 2026, 18:00 UTC
Key Metrics
P/E (TTM)14.00
P/E (Fwd)17.36
Beta0.78
52W High$33.15
52W Low$12.51
Analyst Consensus
3
Buy34 analysts
Consensus Target$37.75
+27.1% upside
Calendar Events
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
Ex-DividendJan 22, 2021
Financials
Revenue$2.83B
Rev Growth15.10%
Earnings Growth71.40%
Gross Margin26.04%
Op Margin13.89%
Profit Margin10.31%
EBITDA$490.34M
ROA6.00%
ROE20.13%
Rev/Share$21.04
Total Cash$54.99M
Total Debt$1.61B
D/E Ratio106.11
Free Cash Flow-$3.63M
Op Cash Flow$198.69M
Current Ratio1.65
Forward Estimates
| Period | EPS Est | Rev Est |
|---|---|---|
| 0q | 0.34 | $772.73M |
| +1q | 0.31 | $784.24M |
| 0y | 1.31 | $2.99B |
| +1y | 1.71 | $3.27B |
Earnings
Quarterly EPS
3Q2025
Est: 0.230.25Beat
4Q2025
Est: 0.250.25Beat
1Q2026
Est: 0.200.29Beat
2Q2026
Est: 0.290.37Beat
Annual
2022
Rev $2.38BEarn $171.81M
2023
Rev $2.41BEarn $113.99M
2024
Rev $2.42BEarn $31.97M
2025
Rev $2.63BEarn $254.37M
Rating Changes
| Date | Firm | Action | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Jones Trading | main | Buy |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | main | Outperform |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jones Trading | main | Buy |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Jones Trading | main | Buy |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Jones Trading | main | Buy |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Jones Trading | main | Buy |