The GEO Group Inc.

Business description

A leading diversified government service provider specializing in the design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers across the US, Australia, South Africa, and the UK.

Key financials

• Price: USD 30.36 (06/26/2026)
• Market Cap: $3,846.87M
• Trailing 12-Month P/E: 15.30
• Trailing 12-Month EPS: 1.98
• Fair Value: USD 28.52 (Slightly overvalued by 6.06%)

Competitive moat

GEO operates as a specialized real estate investment trust (REIT) with deep integration into government security and correctional infrastructure, providing high barriers to entry due to complex regulatory and financing requirements for secure facilities.

Recent developments

• Financial Performance: Reported revenue increase in Q1 earnings.
• Leadership Change: CFO Mark Suchinski is leaving; Shayn March has been named as successor.
• Technicals: Technical indicators have been BULLISH since March 2025.

Investment risks / red flags

• Regulatory Risk: High dependency on government contracts and political sensitivity regarding the management of correctional and detention facilities.
• Valuation: Currently trading slightly above CFRA's quantitative fair value.

H-Score signals

TBI multi factor score: 63

Theme exposure

None identified.

Related

[[CoreCivic Inc.]], [[Industrials]]