The TJX Companies Inc.

Business description

The TJX Companies Inc. is the leading off-price apparel and home fashions retailer globally. It operates T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, and TK Maxx, offering high-quality designer merchandise at substantial discounts.

Key financials

• Price: $152.79 (07/08/2026)
• 12-Mo Target: $141.00
• Market Cap: $168.79B
• Trailing 12-Month EPS: $5.00 (P/E: 30.27)
• Oper. EPS 2027E: $5.20 (P/E: 29.10)
• Oper. EPS 2028E: $5.35
• 3-Yr Proj. EPS CAGR: 5%
• Debt % Cap: 14.0%
• Dividend Rate/Share: $1.92

Competitive moat

TJX maintains a deep competitive moat via unmatched buying scale and a global buying organization that sources products from over 21,000 vendors. This flexible off-price model allows TJX to acquire high-quality designer goods at extreme discounts. Additionally, its business model is highly insulated from tariff headwinds because it can purchase excess inventory already landed inside the U.S. from other vendors, bypassing import friction.

Recent developments

• Q1 FY 2027 Normalized Earnings: Delivered EPS of $1.19 (+29% Y/Y) on net sales of $14.3B (+9% Y/Y), beating consensus estimates by $0.17 and $317M respectively. Comparable store sales surged a remarkable 6% consolidated.
• HomeGoods Turnaround: HomeGoods comparable store growth rebounded to 9% Y/Y, driving significant profit margin expansion (pretax profit margin reached 12.0%, up 170 bps Y/Y).
• Physical Footprint Expansion: Continues its disciplined expansion by opening over 100 stores annually (129 stores opened in FY 2026).

Investment risks / red flags

• ⚠️ Valuation Compression: Trading at elevated multiples (P/E >30x) that leave no room for execution errors, making the stock's valuation highly stretched relative to its 5% projected CAGR.
• ⚠️ Peak Operating Margins: Operational efficiency and margins may be peaking given the near-perfect off-price environment, presenting downside risks on any consumer slowdown.
• ⚠️ Tariffs: Though better insulated than other retailers, HomeGoods remains exposed to tariff shifts on imported furniture and housewares.

H-Score signals

• TBI multi factor score: 91

Theme exposure

• [[Consumer Discretionary]]

Related

• [[Consumer Discretionary]]
• [[Apparel Retail]] (Sub-Industry)