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![]() Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.RCL US · Consumer Discretionary · USD Current price$245.81as of Sep 21, 2026 Summary
Analyst consensusStrong Buy 3Buy 16Hold 926 analysts 3-year price (USD)Factor profileMulti-factor score 31 / 100 Market data
Business descriptionRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is the world's second-largest cruise corporation, operating 65 ships with approximately 174,000 berths across three core wholly-owned global brands (Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises) alongside a 50% joint venture stake in Germany-based TUI Cruises GmbH (operating TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises). The company offers itineraries covering roughly 1,000 destinations globally across all seven continents, generating 70% of revenue from passenger ticket fares and 30% from high-margin onboard and private island experiences. Competitive moat
Recent developments
Investment risks / red flags
Financials
Classification
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Last updated: Sep 8, 2026
Current price: $245.81 · Sep 21, 2026· USD
CFRA Ratinghold12-Mo Target: USD 343.00
TBI Multi Score31
Theme Exposure
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Factor Profile (Spider Chart)
TBI ModelPrice Chart (TradingView)
Symbol: RCLBusiness description
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) is the world's second-largest cruise corporation, operating 65 ships with approximately 174,000 berths across three core wholly-owned global brands (Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises) alongside a 50% joint venture stake in Germany-based TUI Cruises GmbH (operating TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises). The company offers itineraries covering roughly 1,000 destinations globally across all seven continents, generating 70% of revenue from passenger ticket fares and 30% from high-margin onboard and private island experiences.
Competitive moat
- Yield & Fleet Superiority: Industry benchmark for hardware innovation and scale, led by the mega-class Icon of the Seas and Utopia of the Seas, generating premium pricing, elevated load factors (109.7% in 2025), and superior EBITDA margins (36.2% in 2024, targeting 38%–39%).
- Private Destination Dominance: Operates Perfect Day at CocoCay in the Bahamas, capturing off-ship spending into high-margin proprietary ecosystems (11% onboard revenue growth vs. 4.5% ticket revenue growth in Q2 2026).
- Joint-Venture Exposure: Strategic 50% interest in TUI Cruises provides defensive pan-European and luxury expedition market access (Hapag-Lloyd Cruises) without direct balance sheet consolidation.
Recent developments
- Q2 2026 Earnings Beat & Guidance Raise: Q2 Adjusted EPS of $4.21 topped consensus ($3.91), driven by strong close-in bookings and expense timing. Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS guidance raised to $17.73–$17.87 (+14% YoY).
- Perfecta Program Execution: Targeting a 20% EPS CAGR from 2025 to 2027 ($20.00+ EPS in FY27) via pricing discipline, pre-cruise digital monetization, and operational leverage.
- Strategic Setback on Perfect Day Mexico: In May 2026, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum rejected RCL's planned ~$1B Perfect Day Mexico project in Quintana Roo due to environmental regulations. The decision impairs management's goal to increase Caribbean private island penetration from 70% to 90% by 2027 and introduces regulatory scrutiny for the Royal Beach Club Cozumel.
- Balance Sheet Deleveraging: Net leverage reduced to 2.9x in 2025 (down from 4.7x in 2023 and 3.3x in 2024), supporting dividend restoration and cash flow flexibility.
Investment risks / red flags
- Geopolitical & Destination Regulatory Risks: Environmental pushback on port infrastructure (Mexico water park rejection) and itinerary disruptions across European/Middle Eastern routes.
- Operating Fixed-Cost Leverage: High capital requirements for new ship deliveries ($21.3B long-term debt; Debt/Cap 64.0%).
- Input Cost Volatility: High fuel consumption partially hedged at 60%, leaving residual sensitivity to Brent crude swings and environmental maritime emissions standards (IMO sulfur caps).
Market Data
Source: mkts.io · Sep 21, 2026, 12:00 UTC
Key Metrics
P/E (TTM)15.17
P/E (Fwd)12.11
Dividend2.44%
Beta1.75
52W High$356.39
52W Low$232.10
Analyst Consensus
3
16
9
Strong Buy3Buy16Hold926 analysts
Consensus Target$346.92
+41.1% upside
Calendar Events
Next EarningsOct 27, 2026
Ex-DividendSep 17, 2026
Dividend DateOct 8, 2026
Financials
Revenue$18.68B
Rev Growth6.50%
Earnings Growth-4.60%
Gross Margin50.28%
Op Margin27.07%
Profit Margin23.54%
EBITDA$6.93B
ROA7.68%
ROE44.67%
Rev/Share$69.06
Total Cash$876.00M
Total Debt$23.52B
D/E Ratio224.82
Free Cash Flow-$1.52B
Op Cash Flow$6.79B
Current Ratio0.21
Forward Estimates
| Period | EPS Est | Rev Est |
|---|---|---|
| 0q | 6.32 | $5.60B |
| +1q | 3.66 | $4.69B |
| 0y | 17.80 | $19.56B |
| +1y | 20.29 | $20.98B |
Earnings
Quarterly EPS
3Q2025
Est: 5.685.75Beat
4Q2025
Est: 2.802.80Beat
1Q2026
Est: 3.203.60Beat
2Q2026
Est: 3.984.21Beat
Annual
2022
Rev $8.84BEarn -$2.16B
2023
Rev $13.90BEarn $1.70B
2024
Rev $16.48BEarn $2.88B
2025
Rev $17.93BEarn $4.27B
Rating Changes
| Date | Firm | Action | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | main | Equal-Weight |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stifel | main | Buy |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Susquehanna | main | Positive |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wells Fargo | main | Overweight |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Citigroup | main | Buy |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Citigroup | main | Buy |
