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![]() Talen Energy CorporationTLN US · Utilities · USD Current price$299.97as of Sep 22, 2026 Summary
Analyst consensusStrong Buy 6Buy 9Hold 217 analysts 3-year price (USD)Factor profileMulti-factor score 13 / 100 Market data
Business descriptionTalen Energy Corporation (TLN) is a leading independent power producer (IPP) strategically positioned in the PJM regional transmission organization. TLN is a major beneficiary of the surge in electricity demand driven by AI data centers, onshoring, and the need for reliable, carbon-free baseload power. Competitive moat
Recent developments
Investment risks / red flags
Financials
Classification
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Last updated: Aug 10, 2026
Current price: $299.97 · Sep 22, 2026· USD
CFRA Ratingbuy
TBI Multi Score13
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Factor Profile (Spider Chart)
TBI ModelPrice Chart (TradingView)
Symbol: TLNBusiness description
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is a leading independent power producer (IPP) strategically positioned in the PJM regional transmission organization. TLN is a major beneficiary of the surge in electricity demand driven by AI data centers, onshoring, and the need for reliable, carbon-free baseload power.
Competitive moat
- Nuclear Asset Scarcity: 90% ownership of the Susquehanna nuclear plant (2.5 GW), providing a massive, carbon-free baseload advantage.
- AWS Strategic Partnership: 17-year "front-of-the-meter" PPA with AWS for 1.92 GW, providing extreme revenue visibility and a blueprint for future hyperscale deals.
- PJM Geographical Advantage: Strategic footprint in Pennsylvania and the PJM West (Ohio, Indiana via Cornerstone) allows TLN to bypass grid congestion and serve high-growth data center hubs.
Recent developments
- Cornerstone Acquisition: Completed acquisition of 2.6 GW of highly efficient CCGT plants in Ohio and Indiana, adding ~$500M to EBITDA and increasing market power in PJM.
- Pivot to Front-of-the-Meter: Successfully shifted the AWS deal from a "behind-the-meter" arrangement (rejected by FERC) to a grid-integrated PPA, removing key regulatory roadblocks.
- Index Inclusion: Added to the S&P MidCap 400, Russell 1000, and Russell 3000.
Investment risks / red flags
- Leverage: Relatively high debt levels (68% Debt/Cap) following aggressive M&A, though maturity walls are pushed to 2031-2034.
- Regulatory Pressure: Increased scrutiny from the PJM Market Monitor regarding market power and ownership consolidation in the regional grid.
- Merchant Exposure: While PPA coverage is growing, a portion of the fleet remains exposed to volatile wholesale power pricing.
Market Data
Source: mkts.io · Sep 22, 2026, 02:00 UTC
Key Metrics
P/E (Fwd)9.75
Beta1.63
52W High$451.28
52W Low$279.77
Analyst Consensus
6
9
2
Strong Buy6Buy9Hold217 analysts
Consensus Target$460.59
+53.5% upside
Calendar Events
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
Financials
Revenue$3.74B
Rev Growth111.20%
Gross Margin42.10%
Op Margin-4.80%
Profit Margin-4.95%
EBITDA$582.00M
ROA0.92%
ROE-12.83%
Rev/Share$81.82
Total Cash$232.00M
Total Debt$9.57B
D/E Ratio584.14
Free Cash Flow$1.26B
Op Cash Flow$796.00M
Current Ratio0.78
Forward Estimates
| Period | EPS Est | Rev Est |
|---|---|---|
| 0q | 7.37 | $1.33B |
| +1q | 5.84 | $1.22B |
| 0y | 22.26 | $4.53B |
| +1y | 30.75 | $5.24B |
Earnings
Quarterly EPS
3Q2025
Est: 3.673.29Miss
4Q2025
Est: 4.334.38Beat
1Q2026
Est: 4.254.38Beat
2Q2026
Est: 3.392.37Miss
Annual
2022
Rev $0.00Earn -$866.00M
2023
Rev $2.55BEarn $613.00M
2024
Rev $2.12BEarn $998.00M
2025
Rev $2.58BEarn -$219.00M
Rating Changes
| Date | Firm | Action | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | main | Overweight |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Mizuho | init | Outperform |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | main | Overweight |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Wells Fargo | main | Overweight |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Barclays | main | Overweight |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Wells Fargo | main | Overweight |
