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![]() Vistra Corp.VST US · Utilities · USD Current price$140.78as of Sep 22, 2026 Summary
Analyst consensusStrong Buy 4Buy 15Strong Sell 119 analysts 3-year price (USD)Factor profileMulti-factor score 39 / 100 Market data
Business descriptionVistra Corp. (VST) is a premier independent power producer (IPP) and retail electricity provider operating across 18 states and D.C., serving approximately 5 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Competitive moatScale advantage in competitive power markets (ERCOT and PJM) with a balanced model combining stable retail cash flows and dispatchable generation assets secured by long-term nuclear and gas PPAs. Recent developments
Investment risks / red flags
Financials
Classification
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Last updated: Aug 10, 2026
Current price: $140.78 · Sep 22, 2026· USD
CFRA Ratingbuy
TBI Multi Score39
Theme Exposure
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Factor Profile (Spider Chart)
TBI ModelPrice Chart (TradingView)
Symbol: VSTBusiness description
Vistra Corp. (VST) is a premier independent power producer (IPP) and retail electricity provider operating across 18 states and D.C., serving approximately 5 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
Competitive moat
Scale advantage in competitive power markets (ERCOT and PJM) with a balanced model combining stable retail cash flows and dispatchable generation assets secured by long-term nuclear and gas PPAs.
Recent developments
- Cogentrix Acquisition: Advancing toward a 2H 2026 close for the 5,500 MW natural gas portfolio, expanding dispatchable footprint in key growth regions.
- Helix Digital Infrastructure Venture: Launched a major strategic partnership in June 2026 alongside KKR, NVIDIA, and the Kuwait Investment Authority with $10B+ in capital, designating VST as the preferred power provider.
- Nuclear PPA Execution: Securing ~3.8 GW of 20-year nuclear PPAs with AWS and Meta, de-risking long-term earnings and providing structural cash flow stability.
- PJM Capacity Clearing: Cleared ~10,924 MW in PJM's 2028/2029 BRA at $325/MW-day, establishing a strong earnings baseline.
Investment risks / red flags
- PJM Regulatory & Market Dynamics: Navigating evolving FERC rules, co-location frameworks, and BRA price auction volatility.
- Integration Execution: Successfully closing and integrating the Cogentrix fleet while scaling new infrastructure ventures.
- Macro / AI Demand Volatility: Sensitivity to power price swings and shifts in tech sector demand trajectories.
Market Data
Source: mkts.io · Sep 22, 2026, 06:00 UTC
Key Metrics
P/E (TTM)23.70
P/E (Fwd)13.58
Dividend0.65%
Beta1.41
52W High$217.10
52W Low$132.66
Analyst Consensus
4
15
Strong Buy4Buy15Strong Sell119 analysts
Consensus Target$217.58
+54.6% upside
Calendar Events
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
Ex-DividendSep 21, 2026
Dividend DateSep 30, 2026
Financials
Revenue$19.21B
Rev Growth-5.50%
Earnings Growth-6.20%
Gross Margin38.31%
Op Margin13.77%
Profit Margin11.55%
EBITDA$6.65B
ROA5.89%
ROE42.96%
Rev/Share$56.84
Total Cash$435.00M
Total Debt$20.51B
D/E Ratio373.28
Free Cash Flow$37.13M
Op Cash Flow$5.12B
Current Ratio0.97
Forward Estimates
| Period | EPS Est | Rev Est |
|---|---|---|
| 0q | 2.59 | $7.58B |
| +1q | 3.14 | $6.88B |
| 0y | 9.47 | $22.46B |
| +1y | 10.38 | $23.91B |
Earnings
Quarterly EPS
3Q2025
Est: 1.961.75Miss
4Q2025
Est: 2.300.54Miss
1Q2026
Est: 1.872.87Beat
2Q2026
Est: 1.660.76Miss
Annual
2022
Rev $13.73BEarn -$1.38B
2023
Rev $14.78BEarn $1.34B
2024
Rev $17.22BEarn $2.47B
2025
Rev $17.74BEarn $752.00M
Rating Changes
| Date | Firm | Action | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Mizuho | init | Outperform |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | main | Overweight |
| Aug 19, 2026 | TD Cowen | main | Buy |
| Jul 28, 2026 | UBS | main | Buy |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | main | Overweight |
| Jul 27, 2026 | TD Cowen | main | Buy |
